Stats website 538 actually has England as marginal favourites against France
- 52/48.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... id=rrpromoAlthough France's rating took a bit of a hit with the loss to Tunisia, not sure how well their model reflected that it wasn't the strongest France XI. So they might be underestimating France a bit. Still, they currently rate England, Argentina and France all pretty equally, with Spain a bit ahead and then Brazil significant favourites, both due to the strength of their squad and the fact that Brazil's draw is (on paper) pretty kind through to the final - South Korea, then Japan/Croatia, then Argentina/Netherlands. England, Spain, France, and Portugal are all in the same half of the draw (and Morocco and Switzerland, for that matter, neither of whom should be a pushover). As Japan, South Korea, Morocco and many others have shown, though, no result is guaranteed here.
I daresay I will be approaching this game like a lot of England fans - head says England are a good team and could beat France, hard one to call, heart says we'll bottle it, probably on penalties or a howler from a set piece. And of course Mbappe could produce some magic.